The First Black President

Opinion

by David Hinz


I remember the Watts Riots in 1965. I remember the Detroit and Newark riots in 1967. We all watched the riots outside the 1968 Democrat Convention in Chicago of that year. The country was in flames as racial tensions "Burned, Baby Burn."

We have come a long way in this country since that time, but the Presidential election of 2008 will be the election that sets back race relations in this country by 40 years. Regardless of the outcome of the upcoming election; regardless of who wins or who loses, we are destined to experience racial strife as a result. Let me explain the reason.

the Date today is Feb 27, 2008. There is still more than eight months until Republicans go to the polls on Tuesday, November 4th, and Democrats cast their votes on Wednesday, November 5th**, to select a new President of the United States. A lot can change on the political landscape between now and then, but at this time -- we are looking at President Barak Obama being sworn in on January 21, 2009 as the 44th President of the United States of America.

I would place the odds right now at:

Barak Obama 80%
John McCain 15%
Hillary Clinton 5%

HILLARY CLINTON

I will begin with the least likely Presidential sweepstakes winner, Hillary Clinton. At this time, Obama has a lead in delegates, momentum and Charisma. With two important primaries coming up in Ohio and Texas less than a week away, Hillary would need a huge victory in both to be able to claim any legitimacy at all. While she would likely still trail Obama in delegates, wins in those two states could allow here to twist the arms of "Superdelegates."

Regardless of what happens next Tuesday, she cannot win the Democrat nomination without the help of the Superdelegates. She will also likely have to fight for the seating of the controversial delegates from Michigan and Florida. Any attempt on her part to seat those two delegations will be viewed by Obama supporters as an attempt to steal the nomination.

If Hillary does find a way to take the Democrat nomination from Obama, there will very likely be demonstrations or even riots at the convention. If she steal the nomination from Obama it will be clear to black America that we are a racist country, and will simply not elect a black man as president. A significant number of black voters are likely to feel disenfranchised and will stay home in November. Black voters do not need to defect to the Republican Party to sink the hopes of Hillary to win the presidency. If 10-20% merely stay home -- she loses, and loses big.

On the other hand, if she is somehow able to rally women in greater numbers, and to pull Hispanics to here candidacy in great enough numbers to overcome the loss of the black voting block, she could prevail. I find this scenario very unlikely, however, which is why I put her chances at only 5%.

JOHN McCAIN

Barring a major blockbuster scandal between now and the Republican Convention, John McCain will be the Republican standard bearer in November. While he has alienated the conservative base over the past eight years, when faced in November with either of the two Socialist candidates left standing in the Democrat Party contest, the base will rally around McCain. This is already beginning to happen -- despite the candidate's sometimes ham-handed approach toward conservatives.

Should his opposition be Hillary, he will be a clear winner. Should his opponent be Obama, he is almost sure to lose. There could not be a more stark contrast than that between McCain and Obama. McCain, with his ancient tortured body (tortured literally, not figuratively by America's enemies), is the epitome of the grizzled warrior. Obama, with his youth and charisma, the new turk.

Unfortunately for McCain, he is a grizzled warrior of a war that America would prefer to forget. He is a grim reminder of the past -- a past in which our nation was humbled by a group of savage insurgents. Over 58,000 US Military died in Vietnam, a war that, we are told, we lost. America would like to forget, as well, the millions of Vietnamese and Cambodians who died as a result of our retreat.

McCain reminds too many Americans that Americans are dying every week in Iraq -- another war, they have been told ad nauseum, that America cannot win. While uncomfortable with the thought of another retreat in failure, and preferring to ignore the possibilities of massacres that would follow, the public has been given cover by the Democrat claims of "Bush Lied." Armed with this falsehood, it becomes almost noble to cut and run, regardless of the outcome.

I would like to believe that the American people will see through the Cotton Candy Candidate, but at this point, he looks unbeatable. If, somehow, McCain beats Obama in the general election, it will be exceedingly close; and we can be sure that the exit polls will be examined to death, with the conclusion being, that America is racist, and simply refuses to elect a black man.

Barak Obama

Clearly, at this time, Obama is on the fast track to the presidency. He speaks of Hope and Change, and women swoon at his feet. Democrats, so eager to recapture the White House that they would even elect Hillary if necessary, find in Obama, a charismatic figure that they can even like. The fact that he is a mile wide and less than an inch deep, means nothing at all. They believe he can win -- and so, his beliefs and principles are meaningless. He need not make sense. He has no need of qualifications. He has HOPE! He wants CHANGE!

In the presidential campaign, John McCain will not be able to lay a hand on the man. If he points out Obama's lack of experience -- he is being a racist. If he points out Obama's Socialist agenda -- he is being a racist. Republican attack ads will be labeled as racist. And Obama will be swept to victory in November.

He will have a Democrat Congress, and he will be free to pursue his agenda for America. He will destroy the American economy, and will never be called to task for it -- because to criticize the first black President will be clear evidence of racism. Republicans in Congress will roll over. Democrats in Congress will push for more and more government -- and the American people, will suffer through the worst recession since the great depression -- because none of the Democrats have answers that will work.

The president, as he usually is, will be blamed for the terrible economy. But this time, it will be different. Poor blacks, usually the hardest hit in a bad economy, will feel the need to defend the president. Many will see attacks on Obama as an attack on "the first black president." Racial tension will rise, as more and more whites become frustrated by the inability to publicly criticize a failed president, because of accusations of racism.

Sadly, the country IS ready for a [fill in the blank] president. The RIGHT woman would win and do a fine job of running the country. A Maggie Thatcher comes to mind. Hillary does not.

The RIGHT black would be a fine president. Names like Steele, Blackwell and Watts come immediately to mind.

Unfortunately, only the wrong candidates are applying for the spot this year, and as a result, we can expect to see race relations set back for decades.








**Every election the Democrats accuse us of trying this tactic to suppress the Democrat vote, so "What the heck?" It's worth a try.